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38

Erica Goode,Sending the Police before There’s a Crime, New York Times, August 15, 2011.

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Источниками данных о страховании рисков являются: Teen Drivers, Insurance Information Institute, March 2012; Texting Laws and Collision Claim Frequencies, Insurance Institute for Highway Safety, September 2010; Hot Wheels, National Insurance Crime Bureau, August 2, 2011.

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Charles Duhigg, What Does Your Credit Card Company Know about You? New York Times Magazine, May 12, 2009.

41

John Tierney, And behind Door No. 1, a Fatal Flaw, New York Times, April 8, 2008.

42

Leonard Mlodinow, The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives (New York: Vintage Books, 2009).

43

Joe Nocera, Risk Mismanagement, New York Times Magazine, January 2, 2009.

44

Robert E. Hall, The Long Slump, American Economic Review 101, no. 2 (April 2011): 431–69.

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Alan Greenspan, Testimony before the House Committee on Government Oversight and Reform, October 23, 2008.

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Hank Paulson, Speech at Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, August 11, 2011.

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The Probability of Injustice, Economist, January 22, 2004.

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Thomas Gilovich, Robert Vallone, and Amos Tversky, The Hot Hand in Basketball: On the Misperception of Random Sequences, Cognitive Psychology 17, no. 3 (1985): 295–314.

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Ulrike Malmendier and Geoffrey Tate, Superstar CEOs, Quarterly Journal of Economics 124, no. 4 (November 2009): 1593–638.

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The Price of Equality, Economist, November 15, 2003.

51

Benedict Carey, Learning from the Spurned and Tipsy Fruit Fly, New York Times, March 15, 2012.

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Cynthia Crossen, Fiasco in 1936 Survey Brought ‘Science’ to Election Polling, Wall Street Journal, October 2, 2006.

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Tara Parker-Pope, Chances of Sexual Recovery Vary Widely after Prostate Cancer, New York Times, September 21, 2011.

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Benedict Carey, Researchers Find Bias in Drug Trial Reporting, New York Times, January 17, 2008.

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Siddhartha Mukherjee, Do Cellphones Cause Brain Cancer? New York Times, April 17, 2011.

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Gary Taubes, Do We Really Know What Makes Us Healthy? New York Times, September 16, 2007.

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U.S. Census Bureau.

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John Friedman, Out of the Blue: A History of Lightning: Science, Superstition, and Amazing Stories of Survival (New York: Delacorte Press, 2008).

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Low Marks All Round, Economist, July 14, 2011.

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Trip Gabriel and Matt Richtel, Inflating the Software Report Card, New York Times, October 9, 2011.

61

Jennifer Corbett Dooren, Link in Autism, Brain Size, Wall Street Journal, May 3, 2011.

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Heather Cody Hazlett et al., Early Brain Overgrowth in Autism Associated with an Increase in Cortical Surface Area before Age 2 Years, Archives of General Psychiatry 68, no. 5 (May 2011): 467–76.

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Benedict Carey, Top Journal Plans to Publish a Paper on ESP, and Psychologists Sense Outrage, New York Times, January 6, 2011.

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Jeff Zeleny and Megan Thee-Brenan, New Poll Finds a Deep Distrust of Government, New York Times, October 26, 2011.

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Lydia Saad, Americans Hold Firm to Support for Death Penalty, , November 17, 2008.